Executive cyber-loss modeling for energy portfolios

Translate cyber events into measurable energy loss.

BreachCalc Energy™ turns published cyber incidents into benchmark-backed exposure models for operators, executives, and investors. Normalize cost into $/MW, scale impact to portfolio size, and show how disruption cascades over time.

Launch Calculator
$17K–$109K Published benchmark range per MW
6 Energy and critical-infrastructure anchors
$35M Largest disclosed benchmark in the current set

Interactive demo

Adjust portfolio size, event type multiplier, and disruption length to frame energy cyber exposure.

Live model
250 MW
EDP Renewables – Ragnar Locker (Apr 2020)
IT ransomware
24 hours
1.00x
Loss per MW
$0
Estimated total loss
$0
Duration factor
1.00x
Effective loss / hour
$0
Formula: Total Loss = MW × $/MW × Event Multiplier × Duration Factor × Sensitivity
Fleet Curtailment

OEM / Fleet Cyber Exposure

CONTROL-PLANE EXPOSURE
0Fleet assets
0 MWTotal fleet capacity
0 MWCapacity behind shared control plane
0 MWSimultaneously controllable capacity
0%OEM fleet concentration
0 / 100Control-plane concentration index
SUCCESSFUL-SCENARIO CONSEQUENCE
0 MWGeneration exposed
0 MWhEnergy impact
$0Gross financial exposure
0 MWModeled power step
PROBABILITY-ADJUSTED RISK
0%Attack success probability
0 MWExpected MW impact
0 MWhExpected energy impact
$0Expected financial loss

Benchmark Evidence & Methodology

Observed NTC findings support the plausibility of inverter and EMS control compromise; they do not demonstrate a fleet-wide compromise or outage. CERT Polska is a historical reference for destructive activity affecting renewable-energy operational environments. This model keeps observed vulnerability, technical capability, shared dependency, selected scenario, gross consequence, and user-defined probability distinct.

Swiss NTC assessment · CERT Polska incident report

Why this works better than technical risk scoring

Technical severity does not tell a COO or CFO what an incident means to operations. BreachCalc Energy adds benchmark-backed financial translation so cyber risk can be discussed in business terms.

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Benchmark-backed exposure

Anchor modeling to published incidents and sector recovery data instead of generic severity labels.

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MW-normalized cost logic

Convert disclosed cyber costs into a practical loss-per-MW structure suitable for generation portfolios.

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Board-ready messaging

Frame cyber incidents in terms of business disruption, downtime, and likely financial consequences.

Risk per MW gauge

Shows the current modeled loss-per-MW level relative to the benchmark range in the active scenario.

$50,000 Current scenario

Modeled loss curve

Bounded and monotonic: slower early accumulation, faster mid-stage escalation, then a plateau toward the loss ceiling.

Base Event Duration Scenario

Benchmark anchors

Published incidents and sector benchmarks are normalized into a consistent reference model for energy risk translation.

Incident Date Published cost Reference MW Normalized

Built for conference demos, executive conversations, and SaaS-style positioning.

Use this page as a product landing experience, a workshop demo, or a leave-behind tool that shows how cyber events map to business impact across energy environments.

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VoltAdvisor™

Financial interpretation for your BreachCalc results

Translate modeled cyber exposure into estimated business impact, executive talking points, and mitigation priorities.

Run a BreachCalc scenario to unlock VoltAdvisor insights.

VoltAdvisor provides scenario-based interpretation derived from BreachCalc inputs and benchmark logic. Outputs are directional estimates for planning and decision support.